Many thanks, Mr. Anthony Samrani, for your excellent overview (as usual).
Good luck to the people of Iran who have been craving freedom for so long. Today more than ever. They are a model of courage and diligence for all of us.
May God protect them from the increased wrath of the Iranian regime. This is Bambi’s prayer for them now in her heart, regardless of the implications for her birth country.
“Never has the Iranian regime been so weak and never has it seemed so close to its end.
It is under enormous pressure, first on the domestic scene where he has been facing demonstrations for twelve days now, which, last night, were massive.
But also on the external stage, with the possibility of Israeli and/or American military intervention.
Are we then witnessing the final days of the Islamic Republic, 45 years after its creation?
We must remain cautious. Firstly, because things can change very quickly, in either direction.
On the other hand, because there are still numerous unknowns.
For such a regime to fall, at least one of these two factors is necessary:
Either a significant split in the security apparatus, meaning that a part of the security apparatus would consider that the regime is finished and that it is no longer worth fighting to defend it.
Or this could involve external intervention, for example the elimination of Ali Khamenei, which would be potentially decisive in the protesters’ seizure of power.
We know that the regime will remain inflexible as long as the supreme leader is alive.
It is unknown to what extent the Venezuelan scenario in which, for example, the Pasdaran would negotiate the survival of the regime in exchange for the head of Ali Khamenei is possible in the Iranian case.
What is certain is that we are witnessing a decisive moment in all cases, both for the region and for Lebanon”.
