{"id":33481,"date":"2025-11-02T20:36:10","date_gmt":"2025-11-03T00:36:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bambisafkar.ca\/?p=33481"},"modified":"2025-11-02T20:36:10","modified_gmt":"2025-11-03T00:36:10","slug":"thank-your-mr-anthony-samrani-editor-in-chief-of-orient-le-jour-for-your-insights-is-israel-preparing-for-a-new-war-against-lebanon-israel-prepare-t-il-une-nouvelle-guerre-contre-le-li","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bambisafkar.ca\/index.php\/2025\/11\/02\/thank-your-mr-anthony-samrani-editor-in-chief-of-orient-le-jour-for-your-insights-is-israel-preparing-for-a-new-war-against-lebanon-israel-prepare-t-il-une-nouvelle-guerre-contre-le-li\/","title":{"rendered":"Thank your Mr. Anthony Samrani, editor-in-chief of &#8220;Orient Le Jour&#8221;, for your insights: &#8220;Is Israel preparing for a new war against Lebanon?&#8221; [&#8220;Isra\u00ebl pr\u00e9pare-t-il une nouvelle guerre contre le Liban?&#8221;]"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"757\" height=\"358\" src=\"https:\/\/bambisafkar.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/LebanonQuestionMark.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-30844\" style=\"width:383px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/bambisafkar.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/LebanonQuestionMark.jpg 757w, https:\/\/bambisafkar.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/LebanonQuestionMark-300x142.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 709px) 85vw, (max-width: 909px) 67vw, (max-width: 984px) 61vw, (max-width: 1362px) 45vw, 600px\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n<p>Before booking her recent quick last trip to Beirut, Bambi asked her sister Roula (journalist) about the situation in Lebanon. She understood from her that it is hard to predict what was going to happen (or not).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Regarding the same question of whether Israel is preparing for a new war against Lebanon, here is a thoughtful brief short video by Mr. Anthony Samarani (posted on <em>YouTube<\/em> 9 days ago) addressing this timely issue. Beyond his current video, Bambi wants to repeat once again that she has the utmost respect for Mr. Samrani&#8217;s work. What an outstanding journalist and editor. Bravo to him and to the entire l&#8217;Orient Le Jour for the continuity of excellence [of course, this includes Roula&#8217;s inspiring work :)].   <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Anyhow, Bambi took the time to transcribe the short French-speaking video in question. She then asked her good friend, Mr. Google Translate, for his assistance with the English translation. For your convenience, dear readers, you can find Mr. Samrani&#8217;s translated text as well as his original French message at the end of the video.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With much love, this post ends with best wishes to Lebanon. Enough of wars. Enough of dark days. May safety, peace, forgiveness, healing, love, and prosperity prevail not just in the Land of Cedars, but also in all the countries of the world. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-9-16 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"Isra\u00ebl pr\u00e9pare-t-il une nouvelle guerre contre le Liban ?\" width=\"563\" height=\"1000\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/YkK6yYl-NwI?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Mr. Anthony Samrani\u2019s translated insights<\/span>:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>\u201cDrones are once again flying low over Beirut. The south is being heavily bombed. And the question that haunted us for months last year is back on everyone&#8217;s lips: Is Israel preparing another attack against Lebanon?<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>The farewell message from US Special Envoy Tom Barrack had the merit of being very clear: Lebanon is not doing enough to disarm Hezbollah. And if it doesn&#8217;t fulfill its mission, Israel will do it in its place.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Is a new war necessarily imminent? We must remain very cautious, especially since we don&#8217;t have all the information. However, we can assume that Israel would have an interest today in intensifying its bombing campaign, without however entering into a formal war.<\/em><em><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Israel&#8217;s situation is indeed very comfortable today. It can bomb wherever and whenever it wants, without retaliation from Hezbollah and with the general indifference of the international community. A significant intensification of strikes could thus allow it to send a strong message to the Shiite militia and the Lebanese authorities, without provoking the potential displeasure of the Trump administration, which does not want a new conflict in the Middle East, nor a possible retaliation from Hezbollah, which, if cornered, would eventually be forced to respond to Israeli attacks.<\/em><em><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Israel&#8217;s objective seems quite clear: to complete the disarmament of Hezbollah and, at the very least, to secure a security agreement with Lebanon that is heavily in its favor. The question now is what Israel believes it needs to achieve these two objectives. Could it be content with a low-profile war, or does it necessarily believe it needs a high-intensity war or campaign?\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8212;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Mr. Anthony Samrani\u2019s original insights in the French language<\/span>:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>\u00ab&nbsp;Les drones survolent \u00e0 nouveau Beyrouth \u00e0 basse altitude.&nbsp;Le Sud est massivement bombard\u00e9. Et cette question qui nous a hant\u00e9 l&#8217;ann\u00e9e derni\u00e8re, pendant des mois, revient sur toutes les l\u00e8vres: Isra\u00ebl&nbsp;pr\u00e9pare-t-il une nouvelle attaque contre le Liban?&nbsp;<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Le message d&#8217;adieu de l&#8217;envoy\u00e9 sp\u00e9cial Am\u00e9ricain Tom Barrack avait le m\u00e9rite d&#8217;\u00eatre tr\u00e8s claire: Le Liban ne fait pas assez dans le d\u00e9sarmement du Hezbollah. Et s&#8217;il ne remplit pas sa mission, Isra\u00ebl le fera \u00e0 sa place.<\/em><em><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Une nouvelle guerre \u00e9tait-elle alors n\u00e9cessairement imminente? Il faut rester tr\u00e8s prudent, d&#8217;autant plus que nous n&#8217;avons pas toutes les informations.On peut toutefois supposer qu&#8217;Isra\u00ebl&nbsp;aurait int\u00e9r\u00eat aujourd&#8217;hui \u00e0 intensifier ses bombardements&nbsp;sans pour autant entrer dans une guerre officielle.&nbsp;<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>La situation d&#8217;Isra\u00ebl&nbsp;est aujourd&#8217;hui en effet tr\u00e8s confortable.&nbsp; Il peut bombarder&nbsp;o\u00f9&nbsp;il veut, quand il le veut, sans riposte du Hezbollah et dans l&#8217;indiff\u00e9rence g\u00e9n\u00e9rale de la communaut\u00e9 internationale. Une intensification intense des frappes pourrait ainsi lui permettre d&#8217;envoyer un message fort \u00e0 la milice chiite et aux autorit\u00e9s libanaises, sans susciter l&#8217;\u00e9ventuel m\u00e9contentement de l&#8217;administration Trump qui ne veut pas d&#8217;un nouveau conflit au Moyen-Orient et une \u00e9ventuelle riposte du Hezbollah qui, s&#8217;il est mis dos au mur, serait contraint de \u00e0 un moment de r\u00e9pondre aux attaques isra\u00e9lienne.&nbsp;<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>L&#8217;objectif isra\u00e9lien semble assez clair: achever le d\u00e9sarmement du Hezbollah et obtenir \u00e0 minima un accord s\u00e9curitaire avec le Liban qui soit tr\u00e8s largement \u00e0 son avantage. Toute la question est d\u00e9sormais de savoir de quoi Isra\u00ebl\u00a0pense-t-il avoir besoin pour parvenir \u00e0 ses deux objectifs. Pourrait-il se suffire, se contenter, se limiter \u00e0 une guerre sous les radars ou pense-t-il n\u00e9cessairement avoir besoin d&#8217;une guerre ou d&#8217;une campagne de haute intensit\u00e9?\u00bb<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"National Arab Orchestra - Watani \/ \u0648\u0637\u0646\u064a  - Abeer Nehme \/ \u0639\u0628\u064a\u0631 \u0646\u0639\u0645\u0647\" width=\"840\" height=\"473\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/RmaMWasPImY?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"300\" height=\"300\" src=\"https:\/\/bambisafkar.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/heart.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-31132\" srcset=\"https:\/\/bambisafkar.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/heart.jpg 300w, https:\/\/bambisafkar.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/heart-150x150.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 85vw, 300px\" \/><\/figure><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Before booking her recent quick last trip to Beirut, Bambi asked her sister Roula (journalist) about the situation in Lebanon. She understood from her that it is hard to predict what was going to happen [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bambisafkar.ca\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33481"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bambisafkar.ca\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bambisafkar.ca\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bambisafkar.ca\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bambisafkar.ca\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=33481"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/bambisafkar.ca\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33481\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":33483,"href":"https:\/\/bambisafkar.ca\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33481\/revisions\/33483"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bambisafkar.ca\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=33481"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bambisafkar.ca\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=33481"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bambisafkar.ca\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=33481"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}